Midas subscribers who bought Realm Energy (TSX.V:RLM) on the advice of our September newsletter have been celebrating lately, as the junior stock they bought at $0.30 powered through $1.50 Thursday for a %400 win.
Realm Energy’s great ambition is to become a shale gas mega play in Eastern Europe – specifically, Poland.
On June 14, 2010, the company was awarded concessions in Poland which cover a gross area of 635,541 acres (2,572 square kilometres) and net 464,918 acres (1,881 square kilometres). One concession, Gniew, is held 100 per cent by the company (294,296 acres or 1,191 square kilometres), and the other two concessions, Llawa and Wegrow, are held 50 per cent by the company and 50 per cent by Source Energy Partners, a Denver-based private shale company.
All of the concessions in Poland target natural gas in Silurian, Ordovician and Cambrian shales. The Silurian shales across the license areas are potentially hundreds of metres thick and range in drilling depth from 2,000 to 3,500 meters. The total organic carbon, measured by the Polish Geological Institute, ranges from 1 per cent to 17 per cent, with thermal maturities ranging from 430 to 458 C. The Silurian shales may lie at optimal depths for maturity and natural gas recovery.
Poland has currently seen the most activity of foreign companies with ConocoPhillips, ExxonMobil, Marathon, Chevron, Talisman, Lane Energy, BNK Petroleum, Emfesz, EurEnergy Resources, RAG, San Leon Energy and Sorgenia E&P all involved at some level in exploratory work. Quotes on potential Polish reserves range from 1.5 to 5 trillion cubic meters, indicating that it is still unclear what the numbers really are.
These are some big names is the business, and for a little junior to have such a big position is impressive. Not that they will be able to develop the asset on their own. But if drilling by majors in relatively close proximity to Realm’s land meets success, Realm will become a belle of the ball as the majors will move quickly to gain control of the resource.
So with big reserve potential, and cheap land costs – under $1 per acre sometimes vs. $5000 per acre in North America – for both oil and gas – and gas prices are at least 50% higher in Europe than North America and the economics for a big discovery could be very compelling.
Great indicators of a project’s likelihood of success can often be discerned by the talent the company attracts. Realm announced on the 7th of June this year that Mike Mullen joined the company as chief operating officer. Mr. Mullen brings nearly 30 years of experience and expertise in unconventional reservoir characterization to the company. His experience as a shale stimulation petrophysicist has included work on tight gas formations, coalbed methane, shale oil and shale gas. Most recently, he led a multidisciplinary group of engineers specializing in the integration of petrophysics, reservoir simulation and economic stimulation design with Halliburton’s technical team in Denver, Colo. He has led the successful design and execution of hundreds of successful stimulations across a wide range of North America’s major shale plays including the Barnett, Fayetteville, Woodford, Marcellus, Haynesville, Mancos and Bakken shales.
This is the first of 2 vertical wells that Lane Energy (3Legs sub) and ConocoPhillips plan to drill this year with a horozontal well planned for next year. Lane is currently the operator but Conoco has the ability to earn-in up to 70% by funding the exploration work.
Poland’s state-owned oil and gas company PGNiG is completing the drilling. They drilled the first well to a depth of 3,000 meters earlier this year and encountered gas so Lane Energy is expecting the current vertical well to be successful. Drilling is currently taking place on concession block #28. Lane’s second vertical well that should begin in the next several weeks on block #70 is where Realm also has 100% owned ground. Rig time has already been booked for this.
PGNiG has more than a dozen concessions and is also currently drilling on Block #296 which is South of the Lane’s ground and not far from Realm’s Wegrow concession.
What Exactly Are ‘Oil Shales’?
According the International Oil Shale Journal, oil shale is an organic-rich fine-grained sedimentary rock that contains significant amounts of kerogen (a solid mixture of organic chemical compounds) from which liquid hydrocarbons can be extracted. Kerogen requires more processing to use than crude oil, which increases its cost as a crude-oil substitute both financially and in terms of its environmental impact. Deposits of oil shale occur around the world, including major deposits in the United States of America. Estimates of global deposits range from 2.8 trillion to 3.3 trillion barrels of recoverable oil.
The chemical process of pyrolysis can convert the kerogen in oil shale into synthetic crude oil. Heating oil shale to a sufficiently high temperature will drive off a vapor which processing can distill (retort) to yield a petroleum-like shale oil—a form of unconventional oil—and combustible oil-shale gas (the term shale gas can also refer to gas occurring naturally in shales). Industry can also burn oil shale directly as a low-grade fuel for power generation and heating purposes and can use it as a raw material in chemical and construction-materials processing.
Oil shale has gained attention as an energy resource as the price of conventional sources
of petroleum has risen and as a way for some areas to secure independence from external suppliers of energy. At the same time, oil-shale mining and processing raise a number of environmental concerns, such as land use, waste disposal, water use, waste-water management, greenhouse-gas emissions and air pollution. Estonia and China have well-established oil shale industries, and Brazil, Germany, Israel and Russia also utilize oil shale.
There’s difference between producing gas from oil shales, (Questerre has a very informative video on the process here), and extracting oil from shales.
Gas can generally be extracted using multi-stage hydraulic fracing which has become a very economic production technique – especially for near surface deposits. In fact, as evidence by the slide at right, Encana, Canada’s largest natural gas company, predicts that the market share of shale gas will grow from its current levels of 16% to over 50% of all gas sold by 2020. This is because these shale gas ‘mega plays’ (like the one Questerre is developing) produce gas very cheaply compared to conventional production sources. So even with gas prices stuck in a low rut, it makes sense to invest in the companies who will be able to deliver gas profitably to a market whose appetite is still increasing. Shale gas plays will displace conventional gas plays from the market over time simply because they are so cheap in the long run.
Source: Midas Letter




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